By Jill Noble
2/16/2012 2:45:00 PM
What makes Bollen's work particularly notable is that it challenges the assumption of fundamental analysis that the news drives the markets...
Filed Under: prechter, social media
Category: Socionomics
Want to Know Who’s Going to Be President? Ask the Stock Market
A recently-published, landmark research paper shows the link between stock market performance and presidential election winners.
By Robert Folsom
2/13/2012 6:30:00 PM
What's the biggest influence on the outcome of presidential elections? Yet if you want an answer backed by a large body of evidence, you'll find one in the recently-published, landmark research paper by Robert Prechter, Deepak Goel, Wayne Parker and Matthew Lampert, titled "Social Mood, Stock Market Performance and US Presidential Elections."
Filed Under: Barack Obama, Robert Prechter, U.S. STOCK MARKET, unemployment
Category: Socionomics
Do Try This at Home!
The most helpful socionomic forecasts are the ones that no other method anticipates.
By Paul DeBoer
2/6/2012 10:00:00 AM
Socionomic insight is an astonishing tool that can be used to demystify markets. See what is in the latest Socionomist that can help guide you through the changes in the markets and can be incorporated into other areas of your life.
Filed Under: euro, European Union (EU), social mood, socionomics
Category: Socionomics
AUDIO: Peter Atwater on Socionomics
Nearly 30 years into his remarkable career, the self-proclaimed "financial services gypsy" talks about social mood and the markets.
By Jill Noble
1/31/2012 3:00:00 PM
Listen in for what industry-veteran Peter Atwater has to say about social mood and the financial services -- a preview of some of the great insights you can expect if you attend the 2012 Socionomics Summit.
Filed Under: Elliott Wave Education, social mood, socionomics, socionomics summit
Category: Socionomics
Q&A with Author Terry Burnham, Ph.D.
The author of Mean Markets and Lizard Brains shares his views on Prechter's socionomic hypothesis.
By Jill Noble
1/22/2012 10:45:00 PM
Dr. Burnham will speak at this year's Socionomics Summit on April 14 in Atlanta -- take this opportunity to learn about his impressive 30-year career and his involvement in the latest social mood research.
Filed Under: Elliott Wave Education, Robert Prechter, social mood, socionomics, socionomics summit
Category: Socionomics
By Jill Noble
1/13/2012 5:45:00 PM
Filed Under: Elliott Wave Education, Robert Prechter, social mood, socionomics, socionomics summit
Category: Socionomics
By Susan C. Walker
12/15/2011 12:00:00 PM
Nike's price chart looks like a player who just launched from the free throw line to sky for a slam dunk. But, wait, who's that player coming in for the block? It's Social Mood.
Filed Under: social mood
Category: Socionomics
By Jill Noble
11/3/2011 5:00:00 PM
In DVD footage from the 2011 Socionomics Summit, Robert Prechter gives the following example of how “herding” among mutual fund shareholders can cause deep harm, even when the fund itself is successful.
Filed Under: hedge funds, herding, Robert Prechter, socionomics, socionomics summit, video
Category: Socionomics
By Nathaniel Williams
9/21/2011 5:15:00 PM
You probably won't be able to major in Elliott wave analysis or socionomics next year, but the study of social mood continues to make inroads into academia all around the world.
And the latest example comes from three academic researchers in Greece.
Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Principle, europe, marijuana, Robert Prechter, socionomics, The Socionomist
Category: Socionomics
By Nico Isaac
8/30/2011 5:00:00 PM
Ever notice how some celebrities give their human babies even wackier monikers than they do their pets. “Blanket” vs. “Bubbles,” for example. The first one is a boy, the second a chimpanzee. But while the trend toward bizarre baby names seems fueled by the eccentricities of the uber-famous, in truth it reflects collective human psychology at its most basic.
Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), social mood, socionomics, The Socionomist, terrorist attacks
Category: Socionomics
By Andrea Dibben
8/29/2011 11:00:00 AM
The event that came to mind first was 9/11 -- al-Qaeda's notorious attack on the United States on September 11, 2001. Could it be that al-Qaeda's most ambitious attack on a U.S. target also marked the end of this negative social mood period as expressed by this stock index?
Filed Under: socionomics, The Socionomist, terrorist attacks
Category: Socionomics
By Andrea Dibben
8/26/2011 9:45:00 AM
Most historians attribute Picasso’s style shifts, including his move into his “Blue Period,” to changes in his love life or other outside forces. But this three-year period seems to be more than simply a response to the death of his friend. Eight months passed between the February 1901 suicide and the Blue Period’s October onset. Find out why.
Filed Under: socionomics, The Socionomist
Category: Socionomics
By Nathaniel Williams
8/24/2011 9:00:00 AM
The February Socionomist reports that since 1997, the dollar amount of student loans has skyrocketed more than 800 percent -- to a level that surpassed total U.S. credit card debt for the first time in 2010. That's dangerous territory. What does this mean?
Filed Under: socionomics, The Socionomist
Category: Socionomics
By Nico Isaac
8/19/2011 12:15:00 PM
What if one of the most telling confirmations of the long-term trend in stocks is NOT in that soup of economic statistics like GDP, PPI, CPI and ISM...But instead is as close as your television screen?The July 2011 Socionomist does indeed explain how popular TV shows reflect the trend in social mood, and how that same mood is at work in the financial markets.
Filed Under: socionomics, The Socionomist
Category: Socionomics
By Jill Noble
8/11/2011 3:30:00 PM
When we think socionomically, we know the answer to the question "Why are people rioting in London?" does not start with the event -- we back up a step and ask, "Why now?" Why was this the time when people reacted en masse to perceived injustices? Why did the behavior of immense crowds soon turn violent in ways that have nothing to do with the original event?
Filed Under: Robert Prechter, social mood, socionomics
Category: Socionomics
Why the Herd Cannot Buy Low or Sell High
The June Socionomist reveals why the "wisdom" of crowds does not apply to investing
By Nico Isaac
7/27/2011 5:30:00 PM
In 1907, an Englishman at a county fair observed that a group of independent opinions offers a better estimate than can any single individual in the group. Fast forward one century, and this idea grew into the theme of a popular book with a really long title: "The Wisdom of Crowds: Why the Many are Smarter than the Few and How Collective Wisdom Shapes Business, Economies, Societies, and Nations."
Filed Under: Robert Prechter, Daily Sentiment Index (DSI), herding, Robert Prechter, socionomics, wisdom of crowds
Category: Socionomics
By Robert Folsom
7/15/2011 5:15:00 PM
How mind-blowing is Professor Bollen's social mood research? Enough so that a London-based hedge fund now employs a trading strategy based upon the results.
Filed Under: social mood, wisdom of crowds
Category: Socionomics
Are Crowds Wise -- Or Mad?
New Research Reveals the Sources and Threat of Herding
By Nathaniel Williams
7/5/2011 5:15:00 PM
For more than 100 years, social science has claimed that a group of people is smarter than its individuals. The idea is known as the "wisdom of crowd effect." Yet observation shows that crowds often make very un-wise decisions. Now, new research shows you why...
Filed Under: cultural trends, herding, social mood, The Socionomist
Category: Socionomics
By Alexandra Lienhard
6/23/2011 1:45:00 PM
What really drives history? According to Robert Prechter's science of socionomics, social mood shapes the character of social events. From music preferences to the election of world leaders and the outbreak of wars, groups of people act according to collective mood -- which in turn is what gives rise, to a surprising degree, to human history.
Filed Under: socionomics, social mood, history's hidden engine, history, socionomics summit
Category: Socionomics
Bin Laden Exits Near a Top
How the Same Psychology Governs Both the Market and Social Events
By Bob Stokes
6/16/2011 5:15:00 PM
Most investors would expect the market to go higher on the news of bin Laden's demise, why would EWI's Robert Prechter say an event of such magnitude might cap a rally and signal lower prices ahead?...
Filed Under: Robert Prechter, socionomics, The Socionomist
Category: Socionomics