By Nico Isaac
5/4/2012 6:00:00 PM
It’s been two years since the sovereign debt crisis crashed onto the European shores. And, despite 1-plus trillion euros in emergency bailout loans, the region’s economy has -- as my British friends would say -- “gone pear-shaped.” So, is this what rock bottom feels like?
Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, euro stoxx 50, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, Swiss Market Index (SMI), technical analysis
Category: European Markets
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/1/2012 9:15:00 AM
To continue the "global investments" theme started by the recent interview with EWI's Asian-Pacific analyst about the markets in India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Indonesia, I also sat down with our own Brian Whitmer, EWI's European stock market analyst. -- Brian, these days it's easier than ever to get exposure to global markets, especially given the explosion in ETFs. But there are too many markets to focus on, and too many opinions about them. You chose Elliott wave analysis as your market-forecasting method. Why Elliott? Why not just watch the news, like most investors? Brian Whitmer: To be successful in the market, you need...
Filed Under: AEX, bailouts, Bank of England, brian whitmer, CAC40, DAX, debt crisis, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, euro stoxx 50, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, Swiss Market Index (SMI), technical analysis
Category: Global Markets
By Bob Stokes
4/25/2012 5:45:00 PM
In the United States and the United Kingdom alike, we believe it's a matter of time before the word "depression" replaces the phrase "double-dip recession." Why?...
Filed Under: Bank of England, deflation, double dip, economic depression, Elliott wave, european markets, FTSE, gross domestic product (GDP), recession
Category: U.S. Economy
London Prices Falling Down, Falling Down: What Inflation?
EWI's European Financial Forecast has a mountain of evidence proving that the looming threat in Europe is not inflation.
By Nico Isaac
4/17/2012 3:15:00 PM
Despite what you may have heard about ever-higher prices on High Street -- London's equivalent of the shopping nexus Rodeo Drive -- the real numbers do NOT lie: Since topping in late 2011, both Britain's Retail Price Index and Consumer Price Index have fallen to multi-year lows. Today, we present a "mountain of evidence" against the growing legion of Europe's die-hard inflationists.
Filed Under: Bank of England, central banks, europe, european markets, inflation, Interest Rates, monetary policy
Category: European Markets
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/4/2012 11:45:00 AM
When you look at a long-term chart of Europe's four main stock indexes --- the DAX, FTSE-100, CAC-40 and EuroStoxx 50 -- you notice one striking detail: Since at least 2000, every prolonged stock market rally turned out to be a set-up for another devastating crash. This fact is obvious when you glance at the opening chart of EWI's new, March 2012 European Financial Forecast. Of course, European stocks have rallied strongly off their 2009 lows, too. What should you make of this?
Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, debt crisis, debt downgrade, economic depression, Elliott wave, euro, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Greek debt, investment decisions, Swiss Market Index (SMI), technical analysis, technical indicators
Category: European Markets
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/8/2012 11:00:00 PM
Since August 2011, the FTSE 100 has rallied in a series of three-wave structures. The FTSE Small Cap Index recorded lower lows in both October and November. The DAX’s retracement high this past fall was a Fibonacci 61.8% of its previous decline. Rallies were weaker in the CAC 40 and Eurostoxx 50, as both indexes have retraced about 50% of their respective sell-offs. Get the detailed analysis of these observations -- and our forecasts -- in the opening section of the January 2012 European Financial Forecast.
Filed Under: Bank of England, Bear market, Elliott wave, euro, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, technical analysis, technical indicators
Category: European Markets
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/5/2011 5:00:00 PM
Every recent stock rally in Europe ignites the hope that the worst of the debt crisis is finally over. Yet every mini-crash that follows mocks those hopes once again... and again... We watched ups and downs like these in 2007-2009, too.
Filed Under: bailouts, Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, economic depression, Elliott wave, eu, euro, euro stoxx 50, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, soverign debt crisis, Swiss Market Index (SMI)
Category: European Markets
By Bob Stokes
10/10/2011 5:15:00 PM
Many people still talk about a "recovery," or at worst only see a possible double-dip recession. But what if the mistake was to think the economy was only in a recession in the first place?...
Filed Under: Bank of England, Ben Bernanke, central banks, debt crisis, deflation, economic depression, great depression, Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)
Category: U.S. Economy
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/2/2011 5:30:00 PM
How do you know when "something's up" in the markets? "When markets that were once diverging begin to trend together" -- that's how, says editor Brian Whitmer in the September 2011 issue of his monthly European Financial Forecast. Inside the September 2011 issue...
Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, DAX, deflation, Elliott wave, euro, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, inflation, soverign debt crisis, Swiss franc, Swiss Market Index (SMI), technical analysis, volume
Category: European Markets
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/3/2011 6:00:00 PM
When the financial crisis hit hard in the fall of 2008, the Federal Reserve Bank made the now-infamous decision to refuse to bail out the Wall Street giant, Lehman Brothers. Today, the eurozone authorities are losing patience with Greece.
Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, diversification, Elliott wave, euro, euro stoxx 50, eurozone, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, Greek debt, Irish debt crisis, Lehman Brothers, risk appetite, Sovereign Debt, Swiss franc, Swiss Market Index (SMI), technical analysis
Category: European Markets
Forex FreeWeek's MVP's: Most Valuable Posts
A week of no-cost access to EWI's Currency Specialty Service intraday analysis is over, but the opportunities have only just begun
By Nico Isaac
5/26/2011 5:45:00 PM
There's an old boating expression that says, "You never want to set sail at low tide." EWI had this maritime mantra in mind when it recently launched the May 18-26 Forex FreeWeek. During that specific 7-day period, the technical waters beneath the world's leading currency markets were high enough to ensure smooth sailing for the near-term "boats" of opportunity.
Filed Under: Bank of England, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, forex trading, U.S. dollar
Category: Currencies
By Bob Stokes
4/26/2011 5:00:00 PM
British businesses can use the extra coinage. Shoppers there have not parted with their pounds as readily as they did a few years ago. Consumer confidence in the U.K. has been sagging. See the chart...
Filed Under: Bank of England, consumer confidence, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE
Category: European Markets
By Bob Stokes
3/25/2011 12:30:00 PM
"Portugal's government has just collapsed. I've been researching emigration statistics in Ireland and peripheral Europe, and some of the data shows multi-decade extremes. At the same time, the conflict in North Africa is intensifying the anti-immigrant sentiment that has been growing in Europe for years. These two opposing forces are a recipe for..."
Filed Under: Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, Elliott Wave Principle, euro stoxx 50, eurozone, FTSE, Greek debt, Irish debt crisis
Category: European Markets
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/18/2011 11:30:00 AM
Careful observers of the forex market will remember that over the past few years, whenever the U.S. dollar would fall to a significant low against the euro and other competitor currencies, the chorus of dollar doomsayers would get louder. And then, as if by magic, the dollar would rebound, to the surprise of the skeptics. Except, there is nothing magical about it -- this free video explains more.
Filed Under: Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, forex trading, Japanese yen, sentiment, sterling, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), usd/jpy, video
Category: Currencies
By Bob Stokes
2/24/2011 4:00:00 PM
Anyone can wait until a change is obvious. It takes discernment and backbone to act ahead of time, especially when others are acting so normally -- blissfully unaware. A new 32-minute webinar about Europe's financial and economic landscape increases your awareness and helps you prepare for likely changes ahead...
Filed Under: Bank of England, CAC40, euro stoxx 50, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, Greek debt, Irish debt crisis
Category: European Markets
By Bob Stokes
2/18/2011 5:30:00 PM
So the question becomes: Is U.S. manufacturing data so influential that within only a few days time, it totally trumps the worries over Europe's debt problems? "No" is the obvious answer. A new 32-minute webinar recording about Europe analyzes what is really driving European market trends...
Filed Under: Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, euro, euro stoxx 50, eurozone, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, International Monetary Fund (IMF), Irish debt crisis
Category: European Markets
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/11/2009 1:00:00 PM
Most conventional economists vigorously dismissed the very idea of deflation just a couple of years ago, but now it' a global reality. Just like the Federal Reserve Bank here in the U.S., overseas central banks have used the "quantitative easing" policy to stop deflation. And just like in the U.S., something is not quite working. Why?
Filed Under: deflation, inflation, Bank of England, quantitative easing, M3 money supply, hyperinflation
Category: European Markets
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/9/2009 4:15:00 PM
I'll bet that if you ask ten people which of these two words – "order" or "chaos" – they associate bull and bear markets with, eight out of ten will say that bull markets bring order, while bear markets are chaotic. Yet in terms of price movements, both bull and bear markets are quite orderly. You want proof? OK.
Filed Under: DAX, CAC40, euro stoxx 50, Fibonacci, Bank of England
Category: European Markets
By Nico Isaac
4/23/2008 11:00:00 AM
In the race to win back the health of London’s credit-inflicted economy, the Bank of England slammed into the infamous marthon "wall." Yet, as far as the “experts” can see, the B.O.E. is now bursting through to the other side with the help of two main energy stores: Rate cuts & Cash infusions.
Filed Under: Bank of England, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)
Category: European Markets