By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/7/2012 9:15:00 PM
Bonds are a stepchild of the financial news world. Stocks, forex, energy, commodities -- all those markets get their spotlight many times a day on financial TV and in other media. Bonds, not so much. Bonds are complicated. For starters, there are lots of different bonds: Treasury, sovereign, agency, municipal, corporate; high-grade and high-yield (a.k.a. junk), etc. Then you have bond prices and bond yields; when one goes up, the other one goes down… Now multiply that across a dozen different nations. There is a lot going on.
Filed Under: Bear market, debt, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, europe, European debt crisis, eurozone, Interest Rates, safe haven, trade targets, U.S. Treasuries
Category: Interest Rates
By Bob Stokes
4/26/2012 4:45:00 PM
The stock market: one week it acts like Dr. Jekyll, the next week it's Mr. Hyde. What do we make of these dramatic fluctuations?...
Filed Under: Bear market, Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH), Elliott wave, herding, investor psychology, market crash, market forecasts, Nasdaq Composite, risk management, Robert Prechter, U.S. STOCK MARKET, volatility
Category: Stocks
By Bob Stokes
4/16/2012 5:45:00 PM
We look at several technical indicators, yet the foundation of our analysis is the market's Elliott wave price structure. It's now telegraphing an eye-brow raising market message...
Filed Under: Bear market, Elliott wave, market forecasts, technical analysis, technical indicators, Traders
Category: Stocks
The World Has Suddenly Surrendered to Mass Optimism. Should You?
History shows that at market extremes many of the most opinioned bears and bulls surrender to popular opinion. The market then moves violently AGAINST popular opinion.
By Editorial Staff
4/6/2012 12:15:00 PM
Consider this. A week after the Dow's all-time high in October 2007, Robert Prechter went on Bloomberg to describe "extremes that exceed 1929 or 1987...these are the harbingers of a change to the downside for the stock market." A week before the major low in March 2009, he went on CNBC to say "it's getting crowded on the bear side...we've been in a short position for a long time, I recommended that people get out of it." S&P futures traders were a record 98% bears (only 2% bulls) on the very day of the low Prechter went on TV to call for a major turn to the upside. In other words, people were telling you to sell at the worst possible time. What about now? Here's what WE think.
Filed Under: Bear market, Bob Prechter, bull market, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Principle, Elliott Wave Theorist, Elliott Wave trading, herding, market crash, market forecasts, prechter, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, stock indexes, stock market cycles, the fed
Category: Stocks
Bubble, Bubble: Stocks in Trouble?
400 years of history show: AFTER a mania, prices fall lower than they were BEFORE it
By Bob Stokes
3/21/2012 4:00:00 PM
It's easy to say you'll get out before the bubble bursts -- but there's always someone saying "stocks have more to run," or "this pullback is healthy for stocks"... in other words, "tulips are headed even higher"...
Filed Under: Bear market, CNBC, deflation, herding, history, mania, market crash, Robert Prechter, sentiment, stock indexes, technical indicators
Category: Stocks
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/28/2012 5:45:00 PM
"Markets rise on increase in US consumer confidence," said a February 28 Associated Press headline. To decipher the meaning of economic reports like this is the bread and butter of "fundamental" analysis. Inevitably, positive data is supposedly bullish for the stock market, while negative economic reports are bearish. But is this accurate? What a strange question, you may say -- of course it is! Well, take a look at this.
Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, consumer confidence, Elliott wave, gross domestic product (GDP), Robert Prechter, S&P 500, VIX
Category: Stocks
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/22/2012 2:00:00 PM
The February 21 agreement to bail out Greece came and went -- and investors are left wondering. Many think they need to weigh all the possible effects (good and bad) which this new development may have on the stock market. These headlines capture the uncertainty...
Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), Greek debt, S&P 500, social mood
Category: Stocks
By Bob Stokes
2/14/2012 4:45:00 PM
The benefit of hindsight allows us to say that Prechter's then-radical forecast of a "once-in-a-generation money making opportunity" did happen. It actually surpassed what Prechter anticipated. Yet that was a two-part forecast, so this question remains...
Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, deflation, investment strategy, market forecasts, Robert Prechter
Category: Classic Prechter
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/8/2012 11:00:00 PM
Since August 2011, the FTSE 100 has rallied in a series of three-wave structures. The FTSE Small Cap Index recorded lower lows in both October and November. The DAX’s retracement high this past fall was a Fibonacci 61.8% of its previous decline. Rallies were weaker in the CAC 40 and Eurostoxx 50, as both indexes have retraced about 50% of their respective sell-offs. Get the detailed analysis of these observations -- and our forecasts -- in the opening section of the January 2012 European Financial Forecast.
Filed Under: Bank of England, Bear market, Elliott wave, euro, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, technical analysis, technical indicators
Category: European Markets
By Nathaniel Williams
12/22/2011 1:30:00 PM
What's behind the sharp contrast in the clothing worn by leaders at the Japanese and Bali meetings? Socionomics, the study of social mood, provides a clue. It posits that the same social mood that governs stock prices ALSO drives cultural trends -- like fashion.
Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, social mood
Category: Asian Markets
By Editorial Staff
12/22/2011 9:30:00 AM
Most people's thinking simply defaults to physics when analyzing financial events. But when we take the time to examine the results of applying that model, we find that it is not useful either for predicting or explaining market behavior.
Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, cultural trends, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Principle, Elliott Wave Theorist, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, investment decisions, investor psychology, prechter, Prechter's Perspective, Robert Prechter, sentiment, social mood, socionomics, stock indexes, stock market cycles, technical analysis
Category: Classic Prechter
By Susan C. Walker
12/15/2011 10:45:00 AM
if you want to know how those percentages might become less extreme, don't look to Occupy Wall Street protestors for the solution. Instead, look for a bear market. It has always been the great leveler.
Filed Under: Bear market, personal finance, social mood
Category: U.S. Economy
By Bob Stokes
12/14/2011 5:15:00 PM
Judges, financial authorities, Wall Street Occupiers, politicians, and others may try to level the financial playing field, but the biggest earth mover will prove to be the bear market itself. The latest Financial Forecast provides this insight...
Filed Under: Bear market, U.S. STOCK MARKET, Wall Street
Category: Stocks
By Bob Stokes
11/29/2011 4:15:00 PM
It is true that so long as short selling in a major downtrend is allowed, the opportunity will be real indeed for investors who can manage the risk. Just beware of two facts...
Filed Under: Bear market, conquer the crash, european markets, risk management, short selling
Category: Stocks
By Alexandra Lienhard
11/28/2011 3:00:00 PM
EWI's Chief Market Analyst, Steve Hochberg, joined MarketWrap Radio host, Moe Ansari, on November 7, 2011. Hochberg talked about the Elliott wave patterns unfolding in the market and what recent price action means for the long-term trend. Enjoy the 12-minute interview.
Filed Under: Bear market, debt, deflation, interview, stock market cycles
Category: Stocks
By Bob Stokes
11/22/2011 5:15:00 PM
We see evidence that the bear never truly departed in the time after the October 2007 high -- not even in the period since the March 2009 low. Take a look at this chart...
Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Bear market, bull market, Robert Prechter, volume
Category: Stocks
By Jill Noble
11/7/2011 1:30:00 PM
If you're not totally confident in your knowledge of technical analysis and the Wave Principle, there's no time like the present to refine your technique.
Filed Under: Bear market, Elliott Wave trading, personal finance, risk management, Traders, trading lessons
Category: Stocks
By Jill Noble
10/31/2011 4:15:00 PM
As the Dow dips back under 12,000 -- learn timeless trading tips and how to avoid common pitfalls in this clip from our Online Bear Market Tutorial
Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Elliott Wave trading, personal finance, risk management, Traders, trading lessons, volatility
Category: Stocks
By Jill Noble
10/18/2011 2:15:00 PM
We hope you enjoy this free video clip from Jeffrey Kennedy's webinar. Along with Senior Tutorial Instructor Wayne Gorman, our Education Team here at EWI can show you more timeless trading tips and help warn against common pitfalls.
Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Elliott Wave Principle, Elliott Wave trading, Jeffrey Kennedy, personal finance, risk management, technical analysis, Traders
Category: Stocks
By Editorial Staff
10/17/2011 1:15:00 PM
Do you remember mainstream financial news from back in January and February of this year? It had one clear message: the bear market in US stocks was D-E-A-D. Here, the following headlines from the time say plenty...
Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, buy and hold, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Theorist, Nasdaq Composite, Robert Prechter, S&P 500
Category: Stocks