By Nico Isaac
1/12/2012 4:45:00 PM
On the financial playground, long-term bonds are generally the last picked for the winning team -- well behind equities, commodities, high-yield (junk) bonds, even the barely established emerging markets. The reason being: the amount of time it takes to actually reap the fruits of your return. BUT, as a January 5, 2012 CNBC articlereveals, the asset that supposedly nobody loves has outperformed them all.
Filed Under: conquer the crash, credit crisis, debt, debt crisis, deflation, Elliott wave, emerging markets, hyperinflation, inflation, Interest Rates, liquidity, prechter, QE2, quantitative easing, social mood, Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. Treasuries
Category: U.S. Economy
By Bob Stokes
1/11/2012 4:15:00 PM
The average Kondratieff cycle is 54 years, so one cannot expect precise timing; yet it remains a useful analytical tool. For example, the Kondratieff cycle has been "spot on" when it comes to forecasting the overall trend of Treasury bond yields. Take a look at this chart...
Filed Under: deflation, Elliott wave, inflation, market forecasts, Treasury bonds
Category: U.S. Economy
By Bob Stokes
11/16/2011 4:45:00 PM
Is this the point where Bernanke can no longer use Fed policy to "inflate at will"? Well, Robert Prechter says something "momentous" happened on September 21, 2011...
Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, central banks, deflation, inflation, monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, stimulus package, Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)
Category: U.S. Economy
40+ Global Markets: Is the Drama Yet to Unfold?
…or are markets back to their winning ways? The new Global Market Perspective gives you answers
By Nathaniel Williams
11/16/2011 10:45:00 AM
You may not have realized that in real terms, 6 of the 8 major Asian-Pacific markets Global Market Perspective covers each month still trade below their peaks of the early 1990s -- or even the late 1980s. Does that mean that the Asian bull markets have been a "fake"?
Filed Under: Chinese markets, currency, euro, eurozone, Gold, market forecasts, stock indexes, Treasury bonds
Category: Global Markets
By Nico Isaac
11/1/2011 2:30:00 PM
U.S. treasuries have long since been the butt of the financial joke, ridiculed for being worth little more than the paper they're issued on. The idea being: once you factor in early redemption penalties and inflation, the interest payments on long- or even short-dated securities often outweigh the capital gains. Not Anymore.
Filed Under: Robert Prechter, cash, conquer the crash, credit crisis, emerging markets, inflation, investment decisions, junk bonds, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, Treasury bills (T-bills), Treasury bonds, U.S. Treasuries
Category: Stocks
By Bob Stokes
10/10/2011 5:15:00 PM
Many people still talk about a "recovery," or at worst only see a possible double-dip recession. But what if the mistake was to think the economy was only in a recession in the first place?...
Filed Under: Bank of England, Ben Bernanke, central banks, debt crisis, deflation, economic depression, great depression, Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)
Category: U.S. Economy
Will The Fed's "Operation Twist" Turn The Economy Around?
Why is Ben Bernanke's goal lower interest rates when EWI's Short Term Update's chart shows that 10-year bond yields are already at a five-decade low?
By Nico Isaac
9/20/2011 3:30:00 PM
Get out your dancing shoes, cuz this Wednesday (September 21) the Federal Reserve Bank is widely expected to "do the twist" -- "Operation Twist,"that is. The strategy (named for the Chubby Checker tune), was first introduced in the 1960s as a tried -- and failed -- method of using monetary policy to turn (or twist) the yield curve in a favorable, i.e. economic growth-inducing, direction.
Filed Under: Bernanke, central banks, credit crisis, debt, Elliott wave, Robert Prechter, Short Term Update, Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. Treasuries
Category: U.S. Economy
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/28/2011 5:15:00 PM
You may remember the event that dominated last week's U.S. economic calendar: the June 22 Federal Reserve's interest rates announcement followed by Ben Bernanke's press-conference. In a credit-based economy that revolves around lending and borrowing, interest rates are a hugely important component of the overall economic picture. So it's no wonder that Wall Street and Main Street both pay close attention to the Fed's interest rates decisions. But the fact is that the Fed is no more in charge of interest rates than it is of the weather. See this chart...
Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, central banks, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), monetary policy, Robert Prechter, stimulus package, Treasury bills (T-bills), Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)
Category: U.S. Economy
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/11/2011 1:30:00 PM
You may have heard or read talk in the media about what will happen to the U.S. dollar if China and Japan reduce their U.S. Treasury purchases, and/or dump their vast portfolios of U.S. bonds. This topic makes for a fascinating discussion, but they rarely show you a chart. Which is too bad...
Filed Under: forex trading, fundamental analysis, Robert Prechter, Robert Prechter, safe haven, Treasury bills (T-bills), Treasury bonds, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. Treasuries
Category: Currencies
By Nico Isaac
3/30/2011 2:30:00 PM
On March 29, the sharpened bear claws officially came out of bond land. That day, yields on the 10-year Treasury note rose for a ninth consecutive session sending prices lower in the market's longest losing streak in over 20 years. And, according to the mainstream experts, one main factor was behind the powerful decline: namely, rumours that the Federal Reserve will cut short is second round of quantitative easing, a.k.a. QE2. Here, the following news items set the scene:
Filed Under: bailouts, monetary policy, quantitative easing, Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)
Category: U.S. Economy
What's Behind The Recent Bond Market Rally?
You didn't have to wait for "unrest in Libya" to anticipate U.S. Treasury bonds' falling yields and rising prices.
By Nico Isaac
2/28/2011 4:45:00 PM
Starting in early February, the long-dated securities sector was undergoing its longest slump since 2008. The 10-year Treasury note yield had soared 130 basis points from its October trough to hit a nine-and-a-half month high, while prices (which move opposite yields) were in losing streak central. And, according to the usual suspects, the big "fundamental" arrow in bond prices would continue to point DOWN.
Filed Under: Daily Sentiment Index (DSI), fundamental analysis, Treasury bonds, U.S. Treasuries
Category: Interest Rates
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/28/2010 3:15:00 PM
"There is no group more subjective than conventional analysts, who look at the same 'fundamental' news event a war, interest rates, P/E ratio, GDP, economic policy, the Fed’s monetary policy, you name it and come up with countless opposing conclusions. They generally don’t even bother to study the data." (EWI president Robert Prechter.) You need objective tools to make objective forecasts. So, we put together a unique resource for you: a free 118-page Independent Investor eBook, where you see dozens of examples and charts that show what really creates market trends.
Filed Under: Campaign for Independent Thinking, Chinese markets, diversification, earnings, Elliott Wave Principle, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), gross domestic product (GDP), gold futures, hyperinflation, inflation, monetary policy, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, supply and demand, Treasury bills (T-bills), U.S. Treasuries, Treasury bills (T-bills), Treasury bonds
Category: Gold and Silver
By Nico Isaac
12/21/2010 5:15:00 PM
TREASURIES -- the very name conveys a thing that is secure, protected, and will appreciate over time. Otherwise, it'd be called something like "TRASHeries" or "Mattress Stuffers." Then, there's the official seal of the US Department of Treasury: its image of a scale and a key symbolize "balance" and "trust." And, finally, there's the mainstream economic experts who have it on good authority that long-term bonds increase in value during financial instability and uncertainty.
Filed Under: Campaign for Independent Thinking, conquer the crash, junk bonds, municipal bonds, Robert Prechter, U.S. Treasuries, Treasury bonds
Category: Interest Rates
By Debbie Iseler
12/8/2010 3:30:00 PM
...I asked what kind of bonds they got into. “High-yield bond funds,” was the answer. What kind of bonds are these funds invested in? To this question I got blank stares. How long do you plan on staying in these funds? This got the reply I was afraid I'd hear: “Why would we get out when they are so much safer than stocks?” That's when my new interest in these once boring investments turned to fear -- for my friends.
Filed Under: junk bonds, municipal bonds, mutual funds, personal finance, Robert Prechter, U.S. Treasuries, Treasury bonds
Category: Interest Rates
The Next Major Disaster Developing for Bond Holders
A must-read FREE report for investors in fixed-income markets like Treasury bonds, municipal bonds or high-yield bonds
By Editorial Staff
11/3/2010 11:15:00 AM
Elliott wave analysis can warn you of trend changes when the rest of the investment public least expects a market reversal. With that in mind, we have created a new report for our free Club EWI members: "The Next Major Disaster Developing for Bond Holders." Enjoy this excerpt -- and for details on how to read this important report free, today, look below the excerpt.
Filed Under: Robert Prechter, Treasury bonds, municipal bonds
Category: Interest Rates
By Bob Stokes
10/18/2010 5:30:00 PM
EWI's Director of Analysts knows the Elliott Wave Principle inside-out, and also uses key technical indicators to spot high-confidence ETF opportunities...
Filed Under: Elliott Wave Principle, technical indicators, S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Nasdaq Composite, Treasury bonds, gold futures, silver futures, U.S. dollar
Category: Stocks
By Editorial Staff
10/7/2010 4:00:00 PM
This is Part VII of our multi-part series of questions and answers with Robert Prechter, president of Elliott Wave International and the world's foremost authority on Elliott wave analysis. We are posting a new part every business day, so come back to elliottwave.com tomorrow for more!
Filed Under: Robert Prechter, junk bonds, municipal bonds, Treasury bonds
Category: Stocks
By Editorial Staff
10/6/2010 11:30:00 AM
This is Part VI of our multi-part series of questions and answers with Robert Prechter, president of Elliott Wave International and the world's foremost authority on Elliott wave analysis. We are posting a new part every business day, so come back to elliottwave.com tomorrow for more!
Filed Under: Robert Prechter, social mood, U.S. Treasuries, Treasury bonds, Fannie Mae, inflation, derivatives
Category: Stocks
By Nico Isaac
9/3/2010 5:15:00 PM
Right now, the market for long-dated securities seems as alluring as a handsome secret agent. Think: "Bond. Treasury Bond" -- leading role in the Quantum Of (financial) Solace. So far in 2010, investors have poured $190.7 Billion into bond mutual funds; all the while withdrawing about $7 Billion from stock funds.
Filed Under: Treasury bonds
Category: Interest Rates
By Bob Stokes
6/14/2010 10:45:00 AM
The DJIA and S&P gained over 2.5% last week. Should stock market bulls be encouraged? Perhaps, but the rise came on pathetic volume. There's more...
Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), S&P 500, volume, Nasdaq Composite, Treasury bonds, U.S. dollar, euro/USD exchange rate, gold futures, silver futures
Category: Stocks