By Bob Stokes
4/9/2012 4:45:00 PM
Some market participants are saying that the correction may have a little more to go, yet they also think a pullback will be shallow and the market will soon continue its climb. In other words: the quotes above represent the language and market sentiment of the 1990s. We know how that decade turned out...
Filed Under: Dow Industrials, financial forecast, history, investor psychology, mania, Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, sentiment, Short Term Update
Category: Stocks
Bubble, Bubble: Stocks in Trouble?
400 years of history show: AFTER a mania, prices fall lower than they were BEFORE it
By Bob Stokes
3/21/2012 4:00:00 PM
It's easy to say you'll get out before the bubble bursts -- but there's always someone saying "stocks have more to run," or "this pullback is healthy for stocks"... in other words, "tulips are headed even higher"...
Filed Under: Bear market, CNBC, deflation, herding, history, mania, market crash, Robert Prechter, sentiment, stock indexes, technical indicators
Category: Stocks
By Bob Stokes
1/10/2012 5:15:00 PM
It's time to learn specific steps on how to financially protect yourself before the economy sinks even deeper into a deflationary depression. Indeed, you can even position yourself to prosper in the months ahead. How?...
Filed Under: Club EWI, commercial real estate, conquer the crash, deflation, foreclosures, mania
Category: Real Estate
By Bob Stokes
12/9/2011 5:15:00 PM
When gold traded below $300 a decade ago, few investors were interested. Now that prices have quintupled, there are countless gold bulls -- even with the precious metal off its high. The Elliott wave pattern of gold prices is signaling a timely message...
Filed Under: Elliott wave, Gold, mania, precious metals, Robert Prechter, silver
Category: Gold and Silver
By Bob Stokes
7/27/2011 5:15:00 PM
A few who take the first "bath" realize that it's time to get out. But many "hang on" all the down. Some will try to catch the bottom -- repeatedly. But to their dismay, the price keeps falling...
Filed Under: buy and hold, Citigroup, Fannie Mae, mania, risk management, stock indexes, trading lessons
Category: Stocks
By Editorial Staff
5/13/2011 11:45:00 AM
According to socionomics, investors are herding all the time, not just in bubbles and crashes. The agents involved are a homogeneous group. Under the socionomic model, there are no investors vs. traders, technicians vs. fundamentalists, or smart money vs. dumb money. Differences among participants are quantitative, not qualitative, as some people herd sooner or more intensely than others. Although some investors may be smarter than others, in the end everyone herds to some degree.
Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, herding, investor psychology, mania, Robert Prechter, socionomics
Category: Classic Prechter
Current Echoes of the Old Mania
EWI's May Financial Forecast reveals whether these familiar notes are the sounds of a new bull market
By Nico Isaac
5/11/2011 12:15:00 PM
In the decade leading to the end of the Great Asset Mania in 2007, a rising tide of credit expansion drove many major financial market trends in remarkable harmony. Yet in 2009 this correlation seemed to diverge: stocks, precious metals, and oil moved contra-cyclically. But today, the trend in those markets is aligned once again.
Filed Under: bull market, credit crisis, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), gold futures, mania, market forecasts, mutual funds, New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), silver, U.S. dollar, U.S. Treasuries, unemployment, Wall Street
Category: Stocks
By Bob Stokes
5/9/2011 4:45:00 PM
Do "margin requirements" explain the metal's swift price tumble? The just-published May Financial Forecast says...
Filed Under: gold futures, mania, short selling, silver, silver futures
Category: Gold and Silver
Gold and Silver: Why Are Prices Falling?
The timeline of the selloff reveals whether the recent news headlines are the real culprit
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/5/2011 3:30:00 PM
Gold and silver fell hard again on May 5: Gold touched an intraday low of $1463 per ounce (from $1,577 on May 2), and silver fell as low as $35 an ounce (from $49 on April 25.) Investors want explanations, and here are some of the more popular ones...
Filed Under: diversification, Elliott wave, gold futures, hedge funds, inflation, mania, market crash, market manipulation, safe haven, short selling, silver futures, U.S. dollar, volatility
Category: Gold and Silver
By Nico Isaac
4/5/2011 4:45:00 PM
According to a recent PBS News Hour report, NASA scientists have uncovered trace elements of gold on the surface of the moon. The discovery seems all too fitting, considering the fact that gold prices have soared beyond this planetary orbit to boldly go where no yellow metal has gone before. To wit: On April 5, gold shot up more than $20 per ounce to surpass its previous record AND land at a new, all-time high...
Filed Under: Elliott wave, gold futures, hyperinflation, inflation, mania, safe haven, technical indicators, volatility
Category: Gold and Silver
By Bob Stokes
3/8/2011 5:15:00 PM
Increasing economic confidence drives the large number of initial public offerings that cluster around market tops -- from Internet start-ups to big corporations to social networking companies. The same optimism is evident at each top: only the names of the companies change...
Filed Under: bull market, herding, investor psychology, mania, sentiment, social mood
Category: U.S. Economy
By Jill Noble
1/21/2011 5:45:00 PM
Our most encyclopedic resource -- Pete Kendall and Robert Prechter's The Mania Chronicles -- offers a real-time account of the last financial mania and its aftermath.
Filed Under: bailouts, Elliott Wave Principle, mania, pension funds, Robert Prechter, social mood, socionomics
Category: Cultural Trends
Mania Chronicles
As relevant now as it was the day it published
By Jill Noble
1/10/2011 4:00:00 PM
Even before April 2000, Pete Kendall and Bob Prechter had identified a correlation between an increase in large charitable donations and major turns in the stock market.
Filed Under: Elliott Wave Principle, mania, market forecasts, Robert Prechter, socionomics
Category: Cultural Trends
By Nico Isaac
8/26/2010 5:00:00 PM
Throughout history, every major stock market mania has had an identifiable mascot -- a familiar personality who embodies how the healthy advance was overtaken by the fever of speculation that precedes a big market decline. In 1929, the Great Depression had its Shoe Shine boys... and today, I offer my nomination for the 2002-7 stock mania mascot: Marcos Esparza Bofill.
Filed Under: mania, Robert Prechter
Category: Stocks
Oil Prices: Everybody Panic!...?
Sure, they're sensational. But do they drive the financial market? Hardly.
By Euan Wilson
6/3/2008 5:00:00 PM
Everyone's complaining about it because everyone is a consumer: Oil prices seem to show up in everything we buy. From the gas pump to electricity to food to the cost of Saran Wrap, oil rules our wallets. Question is: Do oil prices also rule the financial markets? Here's one answer...
Filed Under: Prechter's Perspective, crude oil, mania
Category: Energy
No Country For Old Mania
How much did has the marketplace lost in the "coin toss" of high-risk mortgages? Try $400 billion and counting
By Nico Isaac
2/26/2008 4:15:00 PM
The hunt for the guilty parties responsible for the housing and credit blood bath has begun as the world's largest economy has become No Country For Old bull market mania. Truth be told, the subprime mortgage industry was a marked man the moment it went mainstream, a fate our March 2005 Elliott Wave Financial Foreacst saw coming from miles away...
Filed Under: mania, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs
Category: U.S. Economy